Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.025600 0.027597 0.029605 0.031774 0.034047 0.036355 0.038874
2025-12-14 0.021309 0.024386 0.027600 0.031194 0.035089 0.039170 0.043756
2025-12-21 0.018405 0.022047 0.025961 0.030453 0.035436 0.040771 0.046886
2025-12-28 0.017072 0.021214 0.025768 0.031097 0.037119 0.043667 0.051283
2026-01-04 0.015671 0.020156 0.025190 0.031189 0.038077 0.045673 0.054619
2026-01-11 0.014378 0.019110 0.024527 0.031092 0.038740 0.047280 0.057451
2026-01-18 0.013653 0.018671 0.024512 0.031693 0.040160 0.049715 0.061196
2026-01-25 0.012671 0.017851 0.023988 0.031642 0.040779 0.051195 0.063825
2026-02-01 0.011805 0.017118 0.023520 0.031613 0.041386 0.052633 0.066382
2026-02-08 0.011008 0.016422 0.023055 0.031549 0.041919 0.053960 0.068793
2026-02-15 0.010260 0.015746 0.022576 0.031436 0.042364 0.055163 0.071042
2026-02-22 0.009570 0.015106 0.022109 0.031307 0.042766 0.056296 0.073196
2026-03-01 0.008689 0.014198 0.021304 0.030776 0.042719 0.056954 0.074877
2026-03-08 0.007843 0.013298 0.020481 0.030203 0.042613 0.057547 0.076500
2026-03-15 0.007016 0.012371 0.019573 0.029478 0.042277 0.057828 0.077722
2026-03-22 0.006758 0.012238 0.019716 0.030109 0.043647 0.060201 0.081485
2026-03-29 0.006330 0.011829 0.019462 0.030199 0.044316 0.061700 0.084181
2026-04-05 0.005873 0.011348 0.019084 0.030103 0.044730 0.062873 0.086473
2026-04-12 0.005670 0.011241 0.019219 0.030692 0.046027 0.065152 0.090135
2026-04-19 0.005283 0.010824 0.018897 0.030642 0.046481 0.066364 0.092474
2026-04-26 0.004930 0.010439 0.018601 0.030614 0.046952 0.067590 0.094828
2026-05-03 0.004592 0.010056 0.018291 0.030551 0.047365 0.068738 0.097082
2026-05-10 0.004264 0.009668 0.017956 0.030440 0.047703 0.069781 0.099203